Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 15.383550 17.356898 19.503742 22.015501 24.877103 28.039763 31.805610
2025-03-02 12.154280 14.755443 17.813752 21.686108 26.474566 32.222205 39.675000
2025-03-09 10.041884 12.973111 16.655472 21.646718 28.275204 36.830426 48.797607
2025-03-16 8.480764 11.560431 15.657871 21.552822 29.890061 41.368815 58.558502
2025-03-23 7.568609 10.823635 15.383114 22.305868 32.674395 47.821925 71.985045
2025-03-30 6.662628 9.937110 14.736369 22.379625 34.428252 52.993978 84.355755
2025-04-06 5.798211 8.974707 13.820818 21.874175 35.165106 56.654038 94.894451
2025-04-13 5.128031 8.209830 13.086644 21.513734 36.022701 60.551741 106.379933
2025-04-20 4.755487 7.863876 12.958901 22.101842 38.504419 67.471486 124.247770
2025-04-27 4.455029 7.593880 12.911715 22.800878 41.248606 75.212333 144.917715
2025-05-04 4.132299 7.242889 12.675801 23.118091 43.318251 81.984580 164.853586
2025-05-11 3.739797 6.720949 12.072349 22.669325 43.855506 85.873896 179.574320
2025-05-18 3.392983 6.252870 11.530147 22.300322 44.565584 90.351655 196.698650
2025-05-25 3.097744 5.848955 11.062950 22.020330 45.424228 95.289099 215.852887
2025-06-01 2.867212 5.543448 10.749504 22.009726 46.847630 101.660615 239.596052
2025-06-08 2.654730 5.249596 10.424550 21.930139 48.106827 107.866757 264.201734
2025-06-15 2.547448 5.156008 10.493944 22.706397 51.402428 119.282358 304.267777
2025-06-22 2.386024 4.931921 10.264560 22.786534 53.089427 127.142732 336.700077
2025-06-29 2.191069 4.615753 9.802768 22.273877 53.274318 131.321672 359.962266
2025-07-06 2.028036 4.351648 9.425310 21.907791 53.760907 136.331752 386.621871
2025-07-13 1.951341 4.270833 9.448597 22.508256 56.796535 148.554400 437.284811
2025-07-20 1.887243 4.211636 9.514279 23.221540 60.239201 162.486418 496.470110
2025-07-27 1.801824 4.094252 9.430709 23.545280 62.682673 174.049266 550.889238